Unexpectedly Intriguing!
September 19, 2017

The pace of dividend cuts in 2017-Q3 has decelerated from what we were observing a month ago, where suddenly, 2017-Q3 is perhaps shaping up to be the best quarter to date in 2017. The following chart compares where the cumulative number of dividend cuts announced in 2017-Q3 stack up against similar points of time in the two preceding quarters of 2017-Q1 and 2017-Q2.

Cumulative Announced Dividend Cuts in U.S. by Day of Quarter in 2017, 2017-Q1 vs Q2 vs Q3, Snapshot on 2017-09-18

Despite having the potential to be the best quarter in 2017, the pace of dividend cuts for the third quarter is at a level that is consistent with recessionary conditions being present in the U.S. economy. Based on our near-real time sampling of dividend cut declarations, those conditions are largely concentrated in the oil and gas industry, which has accounted for 23 of the 37 dividend cuts announced since 1 July 2017. The financial and real estate industries rank second, accounting for 10 of dividend cuts that have been announced so far during 2017-Q3.

Compared to a year ago however, we see that 2017-Q3 is faring slightly worse than 2016-Q3.

Cumulative Announced Dividend Cuts in U.S. by Day of Quarter, 2017-Q3 versus 2016-Q3

We'll wrap up the stories for dividend cuts in September 2017 and for 2017-Q3 on 3 October 2017.

Data Sources

Seeking Alpha Market Currents. Filtered for Dividends. [Online Database]. Accessed 18 September 2017.

Wall Street Journal. Dividend Declarations. [Online Database]. Accessed 18 September 2017.

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